All’s Fair ...
To the Editor
In the name of “politics,” National Review Online’s editorial on the FairTax has turned the Founding Father’s promise of a government “of, by and for the people” on its head in surrendering the tax code to the presumed inevitability of control by an army of tax lobbyists. This is, of course, the current view from inside the Beltway and reveals a common but nonetheless unacceptably imperious perspective.
The “political impracticality” of fundamental change in our tax system denies, as do many in Washington, any effect at all on politics by the growing popularity of the FairTax proposal with Republicans, Democrats, Independents, and all those many people who have recently joined our campaign who have long ago given up on any political party — precisely because they had lost faith that the public could actually drive public policy.
It was also said in the past that Medicare legislation could not get past the “political reality” of the power of the AMA and that the Catastrophic Care Act would never be repealed given the strong interest of Danny Rostenkowski and Lloyd Bentsen and that a bipartisan effort would surely see immigration reform be enacted by Congress. In each case, public opinion changed the course of events those in Washington, D.C., believed they controlled. The almost universally despised income-tax system is commonly described by most citizens as unfair and indecipherable and by most economists as damaging the national interests. It, and those who continue it, have now become, through the FairTax campaign, richly deserving targets of citizen wrath.
To argue that a sales tax might be more intrusive than a system that requires $265 billion a year in compliance costs alone and that requires that every penny spent, saved, or earned be reported to our federal government is as sad and mistaken as the notion put forward in this piece that the governed have so little effect on their government.
The public is yearning, in fact, for “big” ideas that are coming not out of Washington, D.C., but from outside the Beltway. Will the FairTax be distorted by campaign operatives? Certainly. Is that a sufficient reason not to finally take on the system that consistently produces the mind-numbing political patchwork quilt of favors that represents the income tax code? Certainly not.
In the interests of full disclosure, we reprint the original editorial here:
Fair Tax, Foul Politics
By The Editors
Advocates of a national sales tax to replace the income tax have built an impressive grassroots army. They have given their idea an appealing, if somewhat gimmicky, name: the Fair Tax. And they have managed to get five Republican presidential candidates to suggest that they would sign a sales-tax bill if it reached their desk. Some observers credit the enthusiasm of the Fair Taxers for Gov. Mike Huckabee’s surprisingly strong showing in the Iowa straw poll. Huckabee is the candidate most committed to the Fair Tax.
The leading candidates are right to be wary. The tax code needs major reform to become fairer, simpler, and more efficient. The Fair Tax is one instantiation of those goals, but its political impracticality makes it fatally flawed. If conservatives force a choice between a Fair Tax and no tax reform at all, the latter is what they are likely to get.
There is widespread confusion about what the Fair Tax would entail. If you bought $100 of clothing and paid a $30 tax on it, you would probably think you had paid a 30 percent tax. The Fair Taxers say that you paid a 23 percent tax: $30 is 23 percent of the $130 you paid in total. When they say they want a 23 percent tax, that’s what they mean.
Since there would be no more income tax in this system, there would also be no more standard exemption to make sure that the basic necessities of life went untaxed. The Fair Taxers would solve this problem by sending out monthly “prebate” checks to all Americans.
The great, undeniably attractive selling point of the Fair Tax is that it would allow the country to dispense with the IRS. But the sad truth is that if the federal government is going to collect as much money as it currently does—which the Fair Taxers say their system would—its methods of tax collection will inevitably be intrusive. The real difference between the current system and this proposal is that the primary brunt of tax collection will be borne by a smaller group of people: business owners.
Over time, then, enforcement measures could become more draconian than they are today: especially since a massive retail sales tax would create a massive incentive to evade it. That’s why every country that has ever tried to impose retail sales taxes this high has quickly moved to a Value Added Tax levied at every stage of production. Consumers rarely see or keep track of these taxes, and they seem to be fairly easy for governments to raise.
These pitfalls are beside the point, however, since a national sales tax is not going to become law. No presidential candidate could be elected on a sales-tax platform, and no Congress would enact one if he were.
A candidate who ran on the national sales tax would be able to run on nothing else. He would have to spend all of his time defending the idea. Off the top of our heads, we can think of three devastating lines of attack an opponent could use in television ads. One ad could argue that getting rid of the mortgage deduction would send home prices into free fall (something that voters are going to find especially worrisome now). Another could ask why senior citizens, having paid taxes all their lives as they made income, should have to spend their retirements paying taxes on everything they use that money to buy. A third could simply ask voters if they look forward to paying a brand new tax.
There are answers to each attack. But no Republican candidate, especially in the daunting environment of 2008, is going to want to have to make them. Republicans cannot win a national election without the tax issue. If they ran on the national sales tax, Republicans would be taking one of their natural strengths and making it into a liability. Which is why we expect them to say nice things about the Fair Taxers’ passion, and move on.